Warning lead time: how we’ll measure it

An alert is only useful if it comes early. Here is how we will measure that, in public, including the times we get it wrong.

What lead time means

For every alert, we record the price at the moment Wakey decided to call, and the price 15 and 60 minutes later. The difference is the warning lead time: how much a holder could have kept by acting on the call.

False alarms count too

Some alerts will fire and the price will recover. Those count in the numbers. We will publish the false-alarm rate next to the lead time, because an average that hides the misses is marketing, not data.

We will never claim Wakey “saved” anyone a specific amount. We can only show what the chain did after the call.

Where to find it

From launch day, the transparency page will show events detected, calls placed, cost per call, average lead time and the false-alarm rate, all from live data. A weekly report will follow. Until then, there is nothing to show, and we won’t make numbers up.